The role of oil in geo-economics

The Indios of Latin America call petroleum [ the oil of rock], the blood of Mother Earth. Oil comes from the innards of the earth and fills numerous huge caverns as it seeps to surface. It is not dead trees and animals. The discovery of oil in Titusville, Pennsylvania in 1859 changed the world. The individuals and countries who controlled the petroleum resource had obtained such a power that is almost unimaginable.

Oil is not only fuel, but also building material. It is the raw material for pharmaceuticals, for cosmetics, for plastics of all kinds, for clothing of all kinds, and many other products. It is also the essence of US power. After the October War of 1973, which Israel was about to lose, a massive US military resupply intervention ordered by President Nixon saved the day. The US was able to convince OPEC to price oil in US dollars. Overnight, the Dollar was not only backed by the full faith and credit of the US Government, an empty promise, but also by the most  valuable commodity for the modern world, OIL. The dollar became the most powerful instrument of US Power and it no longer needed gold. President Nixon was a great President. His reward: Impeachment.

Entering the New Millenium, the World and the US have faced new economic problems. The economic meltdown of 2008 led to a so called “Recovery” from which the world has never recovered and the US economy is still ” recovering…”

The recovery is impossible, because by decreasing the price of oil intentionally to punish the Russians , the world’s liquidity started to decrease. There is a shortage of dollars. Value of the dollar went up. Debt burden of the Developing  World increased and is becoming unbearable. To service the debt, they had to sell their natural resources at any price. The price of the commodities has collapsed. The Third World countries, especially the oil producers have decreasing revenues to buy manufactured goods. Hence, China, South Korea, Japan, and Europe are slowing down, and that further puts pressure on the commodities, especially the Oil. Also the first world economies of Canada and Australia are in collapsing mode.

Ivy League economists are gloating that lower gasoline prices are positive for the economy, but they never ask why consumption of gasoline is decreasing in the US if there really is a recovery. It is not dropping because of electric cars or modern public transportation system, which does not even exist in the US. The consumption of gas is dropping because people have no money. The US has three economic classes: ownership class, 1%, doing exceptionally well; the overseer class,4%, doing well; and the Precariat Class, 95%, doing very poorly and not being able to afford gas.

The world may be entering a new and very severe economic winter or even a new economic ice age because of human evil, which is using oil as an instrument of economic war. Only time will tell.

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