Category Archives: the Syrian refugee problem

The Middle East is the Pivot of World History.

The Middle East is on the verge of great conflict.  The lines of conflict have been drawn up. The policy of the US since 1948 has been to secure the existence of Israel. This policy still exists today. The US is more involved in the Middle East than ever before. The policy of Israel and the US is to destroy or fragment any state that opposes the existence of Israel. Israel is a very powerful state, militarily and technologically. Some consider Israel the fourth most powerful state in the world, after the big three countries, China, Russia, and the US. The Achilles Heel of Israel is water. It has to import almost half of its water, mainly from Turkey,  a clearly pivotal state to the existence of Israel. The Armenian Genocide of 1916 in the Ottoman Empire caused  by the Turks is not recognized by Israel nor the US. It is understandable as to why.

Egypt and Jordan have been neutralized and diplomatic relations with Israel established. This relationship is precarious at best though. Libya and Iraq have been severely damaged but not yet destroyed.The last man standing has been Bashar al Assad of Syria. The US has decreed that Assad must go, but he is not going anywhere. A famous Prussian general, von Clausewitz, declared that war is a diplomacy by other means. Creation of the Islamic State by the West is diplomacy by other means. ISIS or the Islamic State has been declared by the US to be a terrorist state…but not really. The US bombs ISIS.. but not really. With all those shiny, new Toyota trucks and modern weapons ISIS is moving with the speed of light across Iraq and Syria. Volunteers are coming from all over the world. Volunteers are mainly Moslem Youth. One famous US senator was photographed with the Islamic State group. Even so, Iraq and Syria are still standing. Russia and Iran have stepped in. A sort of alliance has been formed, composed of Hasbullah  of Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Iran, and Russia. The opposing forces are ISIS, the US, Israel, Saudi Arabia, and the Gulf States. The massive refugee problem which has been created by US policies in the Middle East is destabilizing Europe. The economy of Europe, already weak, is being weakened further by the onslaught of refugees from the Middle East, North Africa, and Afghanistan. The vaunted economy of Germany is standing on one leg only. German exports are collapsing. Sanctions are hurting Europe more than they are hurting Russia. If Syria and Iraq win against ISIS, there will be a geo-strategic shift in the Middle East. The Palestinians are sensing this. A massive Palestinian uprising is in the making. China is developing new Silk Roads to Europe and Africa avoiding sea lanes controlled by the US Navy. Latin America is moving closer to Afro-Eurasia. Highways and high speed rail roads will be criss-crossing Afro-Eurasia. The US and its closest allies will face isolation…

Europe must re-consider its position vis a vis Russia. The Wall of Enmity that the US is’ building between Russia and Europe is not going to succeed. It is just a matter of time before the  people of the Ukraine rise up against the Kiev Junta and take their country back (with Russia where it belongs). The future of Europe is with Afro-Eurasia and Latin America. If the Palestinian Intifada turns massive and Israel feels threatened, it may use the nuclear option. Saudi Arabia also cannot be ignored, it is one of the key players in the Middle East. The Saudis are involved in mortal combat in Yemen with the Houthis and are about to lose big. If the Saudi dynasty is overthrown in the not too distant future and replaced by an anti-western leadership, you can kiss the petro dollar good bye. The dollar and the US economy would collapse. The US would face a series of crises it has never yet faced in its entire history. The Israeli economy, which is dependent on the US, would most certainly collapse. Perhaps, instinctively, the Palestinians are sensing that. I repeat again, a massive Intifada is in the works. No question, the Middle East is the pivot of world history.

Saudi Arabia will implode, then explode

Saudi Arabia was founded in 1932, by Ibn Saud, who joined four regions of Arabia into one and proclaimed himself a king. The four regions are Hejal, Najd, Eastern Arabia, aka Al Ahsa, and Southern Arabia, aka Asir. Southern Arabia borders Yemen where civil war is going on. Saudis support ex-president Hadhi, who was overthrown by  the Huthis, the biggest ethnic group in Yemen. Eastern Arabia borders the Persian Gulf,and across the Gulf faces Iran. Eastern Arabia is rich in hydrocarbons, oil and gas. A large desert country, it has to import most of the food for its 30 million inhabitants, a quarter of them foreign workers. The workers are mainly from the Middle East and South Asia. All the important posts of the country are in the hands of the descendants of the founder of the Kingdom, Ibn Saud. The number of descendants is anywhere between six and ten thousand individuals. Women have few if any rights. The Wahabi form of Islam is the official religion. Saudi Arabia, in essence is owned by Royal family members. It is   like the Walton family who owns Walmart.

A special relationship had been established between Saudi Arabia and the US in 1945 during the Second World War when President Roosevelt was returning from the Yalta Conference. The Saudi King met President Roosevelt on an American warship in the Mediterranian Sea. This special relationship was sealed. Saudi Arabia would become the special servant of the US. In return, the US would provide protection.

The US defaulted on its gold obligation or politely stated, President Nixon took the dollar off of the gold standard in August of 1971. Up until then, the Central Banks of surplus dollar countries could exchange their dollar holdings for 35 dollars an ounce. The US was losing its’ gold. Over night the gold window was closed. President de Gaulle of France extracted as much gold from the US as he could in the 1960’s. He sent French warships to load up the gold that belonged to France and took it there. Other countries followed. Imagine how enamored US officials became of de Gaulle!  (Incidentally, de Gaulle was forced to resign in 1969. Massive demonstrations took place in Paris in May of that year. Could there be any connection to de Gaulle’s independent economic and foreign policy?)  De Gaulle told the Europeans not to accept Britain into the European Union. He warned that Britain would be the American “Trojan Horse”. Georges Pompidou, a banker, then became president of France. Britain then joins the Union. Any connection there????

The dollar started to drift, and inflation and gold were rising. President Nixon introduced price control, which was not too successful. The key country in saving the dollar was Saudi Arabia. How? Let me explain. The pre emptive war which Israel carried out against the Arabs was stunningly successful; the Arabs were devastated, they lost Gaza, the West Bank along with East Jerusalem, the Golan Heights of Syria, and the Sinai.  The Suez Canal was closed. Israel controlled the Sinai bank of the Suez Canal. Then, Nasser of Egypt died. The defeat was too much for him. Anwar Al Sadat, a general, took over. A deal had to be made. Sadat broke with the Soviet Union. Secretly, the Arabs were encouraged to win their lost territories back. The Yom Kippur War started in October of 1973. Israel was losing this war. Golda Meir, the prime minister pushed back by threatening to use the “Samson Option”: that is, using nuclear weapons to win the war. Nixon ordered a huge military supply to Israel. The front stabilized and negotiations began. The Arab World formed OPEC, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. Saudi Arabia, being the biggest producer and exporter, played a key role. The Petro Dollar was born. From henceforth, all oil and oil products would be traded in dollars. Every importing country had to have dollars to import oil. As for the US, all it had to do was to print paper dollars.  In 1975 Americans were allowed to buy  gold for the first time since 1935. The Shah of Iran also played a major role in the formation of OPEC. But then the Iranian Revolution came about in 1979 and the Shah was overthrown. The US lost control over Iran. Hundreds of billions of dollars of Iranian assets were frozen in the US. They are still frozen to this day. The Islamic Republic of Iran became the implacable enemy of Saudi Arabia…

Saudi Arabia is afraid of revolution a la Iran, or the possibility of a secular revolution, though this is less likely. The Saudi Royal family hates both Iran and Syria and they share a common goal with Israel:  Israel wants Syria and Iran destroyed, which would give Israel a free hand in the Middle East. (They would get the waters of Lebanon, especially the Litani River which flows in the  shape of a hockey stick through the Bekka Valley of Lebanon into the Mediterranean Sea.) Turkey would like parts of Syria bordering  on its south eastern area in order to control the Kurdish problem. Saudi Arabia faces the Houthi independence of Yemen. The war is not going well, at least presently. The Houthis will deliver a hanjar (Arabic word for a dagger) into the Royal Family of Saudi Arabia. Europe is looking at Russia and Syria in a different light because of the massive refugee problem. If the world economy collapses further, the price of oil may go down to twenty dollars. That would implode the Kingdom, which would be followed by an Iranian style revolution. Israel will face a massive Palestinian uprising. The tragedy of this world is that morally and ethically speaking, the US, Israel, and Saudi Arabia are on the wrong side of history. Only time will tell…

Germany will switch and pull Europe East

Napoleon said that geography is destiny. Europe is the largest peninsula of the Eurasian Continent. Since 1945, Europe, especially Western Europe has been under US domination. NATO was formed as a protection against the so called threat from the USSR. The threat was more imaginary than real. It served US interests though. The US pushed the concept of a North Atlantic World, composed of Western Europe, Canada, and the US. When the US speaks of “International Community” they speak of this particular region . When they say that the international community has ” isolated” Russia, they mean this region. When the USSR dissolved, Eastern Europe joined this North Atlantic World. This Europe became the chief pillar of American power. To keep this Europe under American domination, the US is trying to build  a Wall of Enmity between Europe and Russia. This Wall of Enmity would run from the three Baltic States in the North East of Europe, through Poland to the South East into the Ukraine. Hence, the present situation in Ukraine…

Germany is the dominant power of the European Union, economically speaking. France is the nuclear power of the Union. Britain, never an eager member of the Union is the ” American Trojan Horse”. President Charles de Gaulle categorically stated  that Britain should never be allowed to be a member of the Union. Germany is in a dilemma as is the rest of Europe because they cannot grow without Russia and Eurasian interactions. Sanctions imposed by Europe serve the interests of the US only. Just ask European farmers. But, strangely Europe obeys, especially Francois Hollande and Angela Merkel. Merkel did not complain too much when the NSA was spying on her and the rest of Germany. The NSA is probably still spying on Merkel. The German People as a whole are very upset. I told one German why are Germans upset. I explained that, after all, they are still occupied by Britain and the US. I also told him that thanks to Russia, Germany is unified but thanks to the US, Germany is still occupied.

Besides spying, two other things have happened in the last two years and recently. Germany is the second largest holder of physical gold, in the amount of about 3400 tons. That is lots of gold.  1500 tons of gold is held in the US. Germany wants to repatriate the precious metal. Repatriation is very slow on the American side. They want to use gold to control Germany. The other issue that is negatively affecting  the US-German relationship is the Volkswagen fiasco. VW was caught cheating on pollution. Justifiably so. But the problem is all car companies are cheating.  It’s just that VW was singled out for reasons that have geopolitical significance and this is not apparent to the public.  VW is the largest car company in the world, with huge operations in Afro-Eurasia, especially in China. VW also looms large in Latin America. World wide it is out competing American car companies. Hence, the reason for singling out VW. Germans are furious. Germans will not take this kneeling down to the US. The refugee problem is a nightmare to Europe, especially to Germany. The refugee problem is the direct  and catastrophic result of US policies in Central Asia, North Africa, and the Middle East. Destabilizing the Middle East is immensely beneficial to the US and Israel. Putin has thrown the monkey wrench by supporting  Assad of Syria. Iran has joined in. The Alliance of the Humble has been formed; they are Iran, Syria, Iraq, Lebanon {Hesbullah}, and Russia. China and Egypt are joining the alliance as well. As a matter of fact , the rest of the world is supporting the Alliance of the Humble. Great and tragic events are taking place in the Middle East. Nuclear exchange cannot be excluded.

Germany and Europe are at a cross roads. The US is trying to impose the Trans Atlantic Free Trade agreement at which many European countries and people are balking. This trade agreement would be the economic equivalent of NATO. Germany and other European countries want total independence. They want totally independent economic and foreign policy. If it means turning East, they will turn East, embracing and integrating  economically and politically with the civilizations of Africa and Eurasia. The Ukraine problem will solve itself. The people of the Ukraine will rise up and overthrow the junta and take their rightful historical place with Russia. The New Silk Road will criss  cross  Afro-Eurasia. Latin America will join.  This will be the triumph of the Humble over the Arrogant, provided there is no nuclear war. Only time will tell…