Category Archives: gold

Quo Vadis Gold?

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Gold is a symbol of power and truth, and yet it is suppressed. The reason gold is in jail is so that the dollar is  free to be the official currency of the world. It is not only essential that gold stay in jail, but that the dollar be convertible into gold at the lowest price possible. The Modus Operandi to keep gold suppressed is  called “paper shorting” of gold. Capping the price of gold has enabled the Federal Reserve to reduce interest rates to near zero and to indulge in quantitative easing to prop up stock markets, bond markets and the economy without endangering the supremacy  of the dollar.

To keep gold suppressed is very expensive and limiting. Let me explain. Physical gold must be available at whatever price the paper shorts of gold set through their daily trades for those individuals, organizations, or countries who want physical gold. The cheaper the paper gold, the cheaper will be the physical price. So, countries like China, India, Russia, Iran, and others are accumulating gold at an incredibly cheap price. Gold is leaving the West and going to the rest of the world. Gold must be available for the dollar to be convertible. The point will be reached when gold will not be available at any given price and the dollar will lose its convertibility into gold; financial panic will ensue

Before gold availability is finally exhausted, the US policy is to destroy the economies of the rest of the world. Russia was first in the line of fire because of the Ukraine. The US engineered the collapse of the price of oil and the value of the ruble. They tried sanctions and that didn’t work because Russia is only getting stronger. They tried to destroy China by collapsing their stock market and so far the results have been inconclusive. However, they have been quite successful in destroying the economies of the Third World. By increasing the buying power of the dollar, they have increased the debt burden of the Third World, hence collapsing the price of all their commodities. The Third World has less money to buy manufactured goods from China and Europe, so China and Europe in turn slow down, which further collapses commodities. So the whole game becomes a vicious circle to the down side. Most Third World countries are in a depression. But gold availability to support the dollar is reaching the exhaustion point. In order to maintain dollar dominance, interest rates have to be increased.

The Federal Reserve has no choice to do this in order to be able to defend the dollar in the future, irrespective of what interest rate increases will do to stock or bond markets. The high yield bond market is already collapsing because liquidity is drying up. The official story is that the FED wants to normalize interest rates but in reality they want to create “Volcker Momentum*” and increase the interest rates to as high as they can go. Gold will rise because it will no longer be available at these low prices to support the dollar. Gold will go as high as it will go. To support the dollar, the interest rates will rise to as high they will have to go. These will be events that have no parallel in human history. Only time will tell.

 

*= Volcker momentum is my expression. Paul Volcker was a Fed Chairman from 1979 to 1987. He increased the interest rates to near 20%, so he could reduce the inflation rate to below 5% after the US went off the gold standard in 1971 under President Nixon. My thesis is that to support the dollar to be convertible to gold, gold price in dollars must be suppressed. Gold must be kept in jail. However, this is very costly, because Gold is leaving the West and going to the rest, China, India, etc. Soon, there will be no physical Gold at such cheap prices. Presently, Gold and Silver are very cheap, so the US must increase the interest rates to protect the dollar in the future. Hence, “Volcker Momentum”

QUO VADIS? AMERICA LATINA

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Latin America is a huge region, extending from the Rio Grande in the North to Tierra del Fuego in the South. Historical Spanish America extends from the Straits of Juan de Fuca to las Islas de Malvinas (otherwise known as the Falkland Islands, presently under British control). Ibero-America or Latin America is the appropriate term, because it includes Portuguese and Spanish parts. It is a region of over seven million square miles and over seven hundred million people. It will have a great future and great influence in the world provided there is no nuclear war, but we know that some kind of war is in the making…

The first thing Latin America wants and needs to do is to achieve total geo-economic independence; this goes without saying. Latin America has been perpetually dominated by foreigners, first, Spain and Portugal as its’ original colonizing  “Mother Countries”, and then since its independence from them in 1821, by the US. As a matter of fact, around 1800, President John Adams sent a naval squadron to Rio de la Plata to demonstrate that Latin America was to be a vassal in the American sphere of influence. In 1823, President James Monroe in his seventh State of the Union address proclaimed that the US would not tolerate European Powers in Latin America, a proclamation that came to be known as ” the Monroe Doctrine”. And thus the exploitation of Latin America began and continues on to this day. In 1966, US economic entities extracted 44 billion dollars from Latin America. Gold at that time was convertible at 35 dollars an ounce. This exploitation has been very profitable although presently, it has somewhat lessened. In 1966, converting 44 billion dollars into ounces of gold at 35 dollars an ounce was equal to 1. 257,142,800 billion ounces of gold. These gold ounces converted into dollars at today’s gold price in dollars would be over one trillion three hundred billion dollars.

To maintain its position in Latin America, the US established the Organization of American States, officially as a bulwark against Communism, but in reality, an instrument to control Latin America. Canada joined this organization several years ago, but has less and less relevance to it, if it ever had any. The policy of the US towards Latin America was straightforward, and is in keeping with its general foreign policy throughout the world today:  overthrow governments which oppose US policy. First they were demonized and economically squeezed, and, if that didn’t work, they  were overthrown. Some examples of these erstwhile leaders: President Arbenz of Guatemala for opposing the United Fruit Company, aka United Brands; the attempted overthrow of the Cuban Revolution and Fidel Castro in the Bay of Pigs in 1972;  the tragedy of President Allende of Chile on September 11,1973 (the first 911), and there are many others…

Most Latin American regimes are oligarchical, but even they realize they must preserve and protect the natural resources of their countries, and they are no longer willing to submit to the US. They formed MERCOSUR in 1991 (the common Market of the South, or Southern Common Market ( in Spanish, Mercado Comun del Sur, in Portuguese, Mercado Comum do Sul). Member states are: Argentina, Bolivia, Paraguay, Brazil, Uruguay, and Venezuela. Associate members are: Chile, Peru, Colombia, Ecuador, and Suriname. Observer countries are Mexico, and an outsider country, New Zealand; the US and Canada do not participate. There are other fraternal organizations as well. The great leaders of Latin America are deeply respected and provide unity and inspiration to these nations, everyone from Simon Bolivar of Gran Colombia, Jose De La San Martin of Argentina to recent and present leaders such as Fidel Castro, Che Guevara of Cuba, Allende of Chile, Hugo Chavez of Venezuela, Nestor Kichner and his wife, Cristina Fernandes  of Argentina. One must not forget the great leader of Bolivia, President Evo Morales, President Mujica of Uruguay, and ex-President Lula da Silva of Brasil. Also present-day Presidents Guttierez of Ecuador, Daniel Ortega of Nicaragua, Dilma Roussef of Brasil, and Nicolas Maduro of Venezuela. The latter leaders are under attack but they will survive, and there are others…

Whether the leaders be oligarchical or progressive, they know they must protect their independence. They can only do that through the unity of Latin America and now joining forces with Afro-Euro-Asia. Only time will tell.

 

Dollar vs. Gold II

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In my previous posts I stated that gold does not need any paper currency, but that the dollar needs gold. The dollar has to be convertible into gold, because the gold price world wide is quoted primarily in dollars, and that’s due to the dollar being the official currency of the world. Everything in the world is traded in dollars. Just imagine the power that the US possesses by owning the official currency of the world, so it goes without saying that the US will do anything in its power to retain that authority over the financial system of the world; it will even resort to war.

The key to financial world domination is not the petro-currency status of the dollar but its relationship to gold, Nature’s Money. The Bretton Woods agreement of 1944 made the dollar official currency of the world. The dollar was pegged at 35 dollars an ounce of gold, and the rest of the world’s currencies were pegged to the dollar. The US would keep the gold and print the dollars, while the rest of the world would keep the dollars in US Treasury Notes. The US had free use of their hard earned money, the perfect scam. General Charles de Gaulle immediately saw this for the scam that it was and took action. He exchanged the French dollar surplus for gold, as was allowed by the Breton-Woods Agreement. Run on gold began, in 1971, President Nixon closed the gold window. This is how the dollar became the “Petro” currency. Nixon told OPEC to increase the price of oil as much as they could but make sure it is traded in dollars. Surplus dollars flowed into US Treasuries, more than ever before, and the US got free breakfast, lunch, and dinner. This policy continues to this day…

The Crisis of 2007-8 was very severe. It nearly collapsed our entire economic system. Massive infusion of artificial money {printed dollars} only managed to prop up the system, and did not ultimately save it. The System barely meanders. A series of quantitative easing was introduced, QE I, QE 2, and QE 3. No real improvement. QE 4 is coming down the road. During the crisis, gold rose from around 250 dollars in 2001 to 1920 in 2011. Interest rates went down to almost zero. There was the danger that if the price of gold went any higher,  that dollar would not be convertible to gold. If that had happened, the Capitalist System would have collapsed. Something had to be done.  “Paper shorting” of precious metals was begun. The dollar can only have validity if it is convertible into gold.  Presently, the convertibility of dollars into gold has a severe price. Dollar surplus countries and individuals are buying gold on the cheap.

Gold, presently, is in backwardation. Individuals and countries are paying higher prices for gold delivery now than in the future. Shortages of gold availability are coming. The price of gold may sky rocket over night. By shorting paper gold the monetary policy of the US is extremely tight. It is in essence destroying the economy of the world. Increasing interest rates is sheer lunacy. Gold, silver, platinum, and palladium will demand their rightful value which is precious. They will be not be available in any currency at any moment. The rush for Nature’s Money, gold, will be the beginning of the end of the Capitalist System, as was the rush for gold the beginning of the Capitalist System, and when Christopher Columbus first “discovered” the “New World”. If the World survives, a totally new age will begin. Only time will tell.

How much is the dollar really worth?

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The dollar is a fiat currency. It is created out of thin air through debt. A person goes to the bank and wants to borrow 10,000 dollars and if the borrower meets the criteria of paying back the sum plus interest agreed on, the bank issues a cheque of 10,000 dollars or direct deposits the amount to his account. Money has been created out of nothing to enslave that person for 10,000 dollars which he must now pay back at a certain interest rate for a specific period of time. In other words, he sells his labour, his life force, to pay the debt. He is exploited, he is a slave. This is the essence of capitalism, and the fiat currency is an instrument of enslavement.

Initially, the dollar was a gold backed currency as were other world currencies. President Franklin Delano Roosevelt, early in his presidency devalued gold from 20.67 dollars an ounce to 35 dollars an ounce. Also, he made it illegal for Americans to own gold, unless it was in a jewelry form of 18 karats or less. The Bretton-Woods Convention made the dollar the Reserve Currency of the World. The US would keep the gold and the rest of the world would keep the dollars. Other central banks could exchange dollars for gold at 35 dollars an ounce. Gold, however, would be stored in the US and some would be stored in London. This arrangement was propped up by fear that “the Communists” would take over if the gold was not stored in the US. Publicity  made Fort Knox, Kentucky, infamous as the storage place  for the world’s non-communist gold. General Charles de Gaulle, President of France, was not fooled. He realized it was the perfect scam. He had never trusted the Anglo-Americans. He knew how perfidious they were during the Second World War II. The Anglo-Americans hated him, and of course, he reciprocated. He withdrew France from N.A.T.O. and sent French warships to retrieve French gold from the US. Other European countries followed. A run on gold followed…

The gold drain from the US followed. President Nixon closed the Gold window. This closure was permanent, contrary to the President’s statement that  it was temporary. The US was running trade deficits and the Vietnam War was draining the country of its real wealth, gold. The dollar paper drainage was no big deal, because it was only paper. The Arab oil embargo saved the dollar and the US. The US told the oil producers to increase the price of oil but just have it denominated in dollars. The excess dollars of the world poured into US treasuries and helped finance government operation. The decade of 1970’s showcased growth throughout the world but with inflation. Gold was allowed to reach its equilibrium value of 850 dollars an ounce. Silver, taken out of circulation in 1965, went to 50 dollars an ounce in 1979-80. Interest rates were high because demand for money was high. Demand for real money, gold and silver, was high. But the dollar was losing value. In 1969, one could get four Swiss Francs for one dollar, but in 1979-80 period, the Swiss Franc was on parity with the dollar.

President Carter appointed Paul Volcker Chairman of the Federal Reserve Bank. The Prime Rate went to almost twenty percent. The price of precious metals collapsed and value of the dollar rose. Money from all over the world poured into the US. By 1992, the USSR and communism had disappeared in Europe. The end of history was proclaimed. The plunder of the ex-USSR and Eastern Europe, along with the rest of the world began with increasing tempo. A unipolar world of ten years duration was achieved. In Nature, when one extreme is reached, opposite forces start building momentum, and new forces started brewing on the horizon…

Vladimir Putin was appointed Prime Minister of Russia in 2000, and the economic decay started in the first decade of the New Millennium in the West. It is now worsening and encompassing the entire world. The central player in all this has been the dollar. It has no intrinsic value like gold, land or water, but is the instrument of US power. The US wants to maintain that power come hell or high water, and in order to maintain it, debt in dollar terms has to grow. The IMF and World Bank, along with other private organizations, are working overtime to trap more and more countries into unsustainable debt and milk them for all they are worth. This is the MODUS OPERANDI of capitalism…

But opposing forces are rising, and the de-dollarization of the world has began. The World is trying to dis-infect itself from the dollar. Very interesting and dangerous times are approaching. But the US will not willingly give up its instrument of power. It is negotiating trade deals with Europe, South America, and South East Asia to insure the dollar to be the supreme currency. It is confronting China in the South China Sea, but at the same time, it is enticing  it to join the IMF arrangement of Special Drawing Right Currency. The US wants the China to row the dollar-SDR boat, and the US would steer it. Whether China falls for it or not remains to be seen. China, Russia, Brazil, Iran, and other countries that have backbone are trading amongst themselves in their own currencies. The river of history is flowing and it cannot be reversed.

How much is the dollar really worth? Nothing. It is merely an instrument of power, intimidation, and war, like aircraft carriers. And history will be unkind to both. Only time will tell.

Cui Bono?

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The Russian plane tragedy which happened recently in Sinai, Egypt begs the question: who benefits? The Russian plane crash is a significant event in the Middle East and the world. It will polarize the world, and further divide the West from the Rest. Egypt definitely did not benefit. The plane crash could destroy the tourist industry of Egypt and worsen the already pretty bad economic condition of the country. The position of President El-Sisi could be on the line. Forces unfriendly to the President may organize a coup against him and destabilize the country. Cui Bono? Western strategic interests?

The Islamic State claims it bombed the plane. Quite likely. It boasts about having done it. This is to imply the great reach of the Islamic State. But who are its enablers? Saudi Arabia and Gulf States, but also the US, Britain, and Israel. The latter three are its’ real enablers. By using the Islamic State, the West wants to destroy Iraq, Syria, and Egypt, fragment them into smaller states which would then be subservient to Israel and the West. Created by the West, it is an instrument of power to destroy Egypt, Iraq, Syria, and more importantly, Iran. The Islamic State itself gains very little. It demonstrates to the world that it is very evil. This is a huge plus for President Assad, Russia, and its allies, Iran, Iraq, and Hesballah of Lebanon.

The irony of this all is that the biggest losers out of this will be these very enablers of ISIS. The refugee crises of the Greater Middle East and North Africa are destabilizing the European Union. The Kurdish Rebellion of Iraq and Syria is exciting the Kurds of Turkey, a NATO member and strong ally of Israel and the US. Turkey may end up in civil war. Israel is facing the third Palestinian Intifada, which is now in its early phase. Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States face disaster in Yemen. The Middle East war is enlarging and is connecting what is going on in Afghanistan, the Ukraine, North Africa, and the Middle East, This is one war with many fronts. It also has socio-economic components. The socio-economic conditions of the European Union are deteriorating from the Baltics to Portugal,  from Ireland and Britain to Greece. The German economy is standing on one leg, and Mutter, Angela Merkel, is on the way out. Contrary to official propaganda, the US and Canada are not doing well at all. No interest rise this year or 2016. Foreigners will determine the interest rates, the value of the dollar and gold. The boomerang of Russian sanctions are in play.

A big battle is brewing for the ISIS center of El-Raqqua. Syrian Forces are attacking the city. The US has inserted 50 or so Special Forces within the Kurds. If the Kurds take the stronghold, the US will have a chance. If Assad wins, ISIS and the US will have no chance. Only time will tell.

 

The Dollar vs Gold

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There is a battle going on between the International Community of the West and he International Community of the Rest. This has been going on since the beginning of Colonialism. The Colonial Powers of the West have practiced a policy of conquest and exploitation, which still continues. Its’ instrument of exploitation is the dollar. The US owns, prints, and uses the dollar to its advantage. Even the European Union States, in trade amongst themselves, must use the Dollar. Such is the power of the dollar and the US, and the US wants to preserve this power…

But now the dollar is under attack, even though the US Dollar Index is above 90. (Actually, it is around 97.) The Index measures the value of the dollar versus other convertible currencies such as the Euro, Yen, British pound, Canadian and Australian dollars, and of course, the Swiss Franc. The Dollar Index has gone as high as above 120, and as low being below 80. A range between 90 and 100 is ideal. Not too hot, not too cold. It is hot enough to destroy or devalue currencies of natural resource countries such as Brazil, Venezuela, Argentina, etc; countries that have an independent economic and foreign policy. These and other countries suffer from immense dollar debt. As dollar value rises their debt burden rises and becomes unbearable. Social upheaval follows. Regime change takes place, either peacefully or violently, and a friendly regime is installed that does what the US wants it to do. Lately this Modus Operandi has not been too successful in Latin America.

It has contributed to the destruction of Socialism. The CIA has probably infiltrated every socialist government in Eastern Europe, including the Soviet Union. Émigré groups have played a key role. How does one explain the fate of Nicolae Ceausescu who went from being the “de Gaulle of Eastern Europe” to being executed by firing squad together with his wife, Elena?  Simple. He had after all, paid his dollar debt to the West by practicing severe austerity. And now, Romania is again in debt, and its economic conditions are not very good. It is member of NATO and the European Union. Now, Romania, has no real say on the world stage as it had under Ceausescu. Such is life. Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, the success has not been that great. Afghanistan has been occupied but not conquered. The Taliban will most likely win. The US will be kicked out. Opium trade which is controlled by the US will probably be lost, and the dollar will lose its significance in the opium trade. The opium and illegal drug trades are huge. Trading in drugs is the number one trade in the world. It dwarfs oil, natural gas, and automobiles. And, it is based on dollar. Wonder why US wants to be in Afghanistan? The drug trade supports the dollar.

The dollar is fiat currency based on debt. When debt in dollar terms grows, the power of the US grows. The indebted countries are manipulated according to the needs of the dollar country. Zero interest rates entices more countries into debt, because these countries do not know the other side of the story. The other side of the story is that low interest rates are a “put” or support for US stock and bond markets. Money from all over the world pours into the US stocks, bonds, and high end real estate market. The value of the dollar goes up, indebted countries start suffering. Their currencies collapse, commodities collapse,  inflationary depression and coups d’état follow. This is what is going in geo-economic terms  in the world presently.

The International Community of the West under US leadership wants the money of the world to go into stocks and bonds. It does not want the money to go into gold. Gold has been pushed into artificial hibernation via paper shorting. The interesting side effect of this artificial hibernation  has been that gold has been moving from the West to the Rest, and is not coming back. China is the number one producer of gold in the world and keeps it at home. Russia is the number four producer of gold and keeps it at home. Gold mining of the world is dominated by western corporations, whether it be in Africa, South East Asia, North or South America, or Central Asia. They also participate in the suppression of gold. These gold corporations are instructed to supply it to keep the price suppressed because it benefits them. There is less revenue sharing with countries where gold mines are located. Also, they are protected from being responsible for enormous environmental damage. Gold mining is environmentally very destructive. It is one of the most destructive, on par with oil fracking. However, it does not produce earth quakes as do oil and gas fracking.

The dollar is strong and it will stay strong as long as the dollar index stays in the range between 90 and 100. In this range, it is strong enough to cause havoc to the currencies of most of the world, including the currencies of its two closest allies, Australia and Canada. They are collateral damage. Gold is weak in order for the dollar to be strong. It is a very artificial relationship. It is a severe form of dis-equilibrium which frequently develops in nature. Dis-equillibria in nature are rather frequent. Weather patterns are classical examples. When weather dis-equillibria develop they manifest themselves as tornados, hurricanes, lightning, snow storms, etc, until the energy of dis-equilibrium  is dissipated and normal weather patterns return.

Financial disequilibria are all unnatural whether they be the Mississippi Bubble, the South Sea Bubble, or the 1929 Crash. The consequences of crashes are usually very severe for the people. We are approaching such an event now. There are warning signs as in the weather. There are mini crashes preceding the big one. The Big One will come without any warning. The US Treasury and the Federal Reserve are doing their best to prevent one, but they will not succeed. It is simple. One cannot violate the Laws of Nature. It will be very interesting, and only time will tell.

What is the prospect for gold? It is Nature’s money. Nature’s money is a form of energy. If one looks at gold it has the color and the energy of the sun. If one looks at the fiat note it has a picture of some famous individual, number, coat of arms, and the name of the country. Fiat can be printed, but gold cannot be created nor destroyed. It is eternal. It was created when the Universe was created. The equilibrium price of gold with the present buying power of the world’s reserve currency would be at least 3000 dollars. The people of Afro-Eurasia are buying gold. The Chinese government is encouraging  its citizens to save in gold. It is wise to invest in Nature’s money. Gold represents TRUTH.

 

 

The collapse of the present economic structure is inevitable.

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The collapse of the present economic system is inevitable and cannot be prevented despite all the efforts of the individuals that run and benefit from the system. A system based on lies and deceptions cannot last. It cannot be sustained. As I mentioned in one of my earlier posts,the US economic system and power is based on three  pillars: paper, the dollar, the bond and stock markets; all three are based on debt denominated in US dollars.

Many people in the know  think that the weakest pillar of the three is the dollar, but that ain’t necessarily so. Remember, the dollar is essentially the official currency of the world. Most  financial transactions are done in dollars. Most of the world’s debt is held in dollars. Also,most of the drug  trade,prostitution and pornography are transacted in dollars. In other words,most economic human activity is  carried out in dollars. In addition, countries that have trade surpluses hold their reserves in dollars. De-dollarization is taking place all over the world, but the process has been slow. It may accelerate in the future, but the future has not yet arrived. The dollar is good for at least two, if not, five years. Five years in economic terms is a long time. Still, many people and countries are moving towards the exits…

US Treasuries are connected with the dollar policy. Treasury bonds are debt issued  by the US Government for its operation. The claim is made that it is as good and safe as gold. Each individual should decide for herself or himself. Foreign governments are parking their dollar reserves in US treasuries. Narco money is also parking its money in US Treasuries. Many important counties are divesting themselves of Treasuries and investing in the ultimate money, which is GOLD. The process is slow but it will accelerate in the future, but the future has not arrived.

The third pillar of paper is the stock market. The US Stock Market is Casino Royale and can close and collapse any moment. The future of the world will be decided on Wall Street. If Wall Street collapses suddenly it would be an earth shaking event, the kind that happens only once or twice in a millennium. It may also be slow process of decay. Which ever process takes hold or if a mixture of the two, it will ultimately be catastrophic. The US Government and the Federal Reserve  will try  their best but will fail, because the energy entering the economic system is decreasing and will go to its equilibrium level whose depth is unknown. It will be known in due time. The Economic System which is blindly venerated will no longer be viable. It will collapse from septic financial shock and die. Chaos and long transition will follow. Countries will fragment into smaller units. The US may face fragmentation.People living on the land will do reasonably well. The Amish will be admired. Only time will tell.

Deflation is impossible under fiat currency regime.

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The fiat currency regime is a profoundly parasitic system. It is parasitic because the dominant currency (the US dollar),also known as the reserve currency or official currency of the world sucks the energy and blood of the rest of the world. It affects the whole non Anglo-American World.

The system was set up in Bretton-Woods, New Hampshire in 1944. The sucking instruments were the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, the Agency for International  Development and others. The modus operandi  was the creation of debt denominated in dollars.The plan was and still is to place into debt the entire world, especially the Third World and the former Communist World.

Being in debt in a foreign currency implies that a country must earn that currency by selling its own natural resources  at ever cheaper prices. Devaluation of the local currency ensues, inflation follows. The local population, already poor, is faced with a threat to its survival but the creditors’ mission has been accomplished. This method of operation is repeated over and over again. The governments of these miserable countries are blamed and if they rebel they are overthrown. Hyperinflationary  depression is the end result.

A similar fate is awaiting the US. Since 1945 the US has been sucking the blood of the rest of the world. First, on the basis of the dollar being linked to gold at thirty five dollars an ounce. When this policy became too costly, the US simply defaulted. The US was losing too much gold. New policy was introduced, the petro dollar,by inducing oil producing countries to sell their oil only in dollars. The Shah of Iran played a key role and his role in this policy sealed his fate. One must remember that Iran is a millennial civilisation. Also, all trade and debt continued to be based on dollars. In the nineteen seventies the dollar weakened and precious metals spiked as inflation spiked to almost hyperinflationary levels. Interest rates were raised to almost twenty percent. Savers were doing great. The Cold War intensified. The Soviet Union dissolved itself. Japan entered a declining phase. China accommodated the US, formed a “modus vivendi” with the US but Russia was on its knees. It was plundered by the the  West  via Yeltsin and the oligarchs. Europe was compliant to the US and the dollar reigned supreme.

Good things never last. The tech bubble burst in 2000. The housing bubble inflated. 911 happened. The sympathy of the world was on America’s side. Wars were started. First Afghanistan,then Iraq. In Afghanistan, the Taliban were US allies but then they reduced the production of opium to only ninety six tons. That threatened the value of the dollar. The US attacked  Afghanistan. The excuse was El-Quaida  and 911. The production of opium went from ninety six tons to six thousand four hundred tons. In dollar terms, this is over six trillion annually and all traded in dollars. That trade supports the dollar and keeps domestic inflation at bay because the opium or drug trade is the biggest form of trade in the world (it is bigger than even the automobile or oil industries! ) Weapons of mass destruction were the reason given to attack Iraq. The real reason was Saddam Hossein wanted to sell Iraqui oil for Euros.  Libya was destroyed because Gaddafi wanted to use Gold Dinar.

Housing and the debt bubble collapsed. The system was shaken to its foundation. Zero interest rates were introduced. Quantitative Easing was instituted. Easy money poured into the stock market, the bond market, high end real estate market, and various kinds of speculations. Money poured into the US from all over the world. The dollar rose. Gold and other precious metals went into collapse. All commodities went into collapse mode. The third world is entering hyperinflationary depression. In the US, they are talking about deflation. The only deflation that is being experienced in the US is the standard of living of ninety percent of Americans. This has never happened before. During the nineteen thirties, the standard of living of people who worked rose because the prices of everything had collapsed, including the dollar. Dollar was devalued with respect to gold to thirty five dollars an ounce from twenty dollars and sixty seven cents.

There is no deflation in America except in living standards for ninety percent of its people. The prices of everything including groceries, services, health care, rents,etc are going up. Wages are stagnating. The buying power of the dollar is going down. Since 1945, the US has been exporting inflation to the rest of the world. The rest of the world is slowly de-dollarizing. The dollar will be abandoned. Nobody will want a  piece of paper that is backed by nothing except  the “Full Faith and Credit” of the United States. Inflation is coming to the US. If the dollar were gold backed currency, the US would not be having these problems. Under fiat currency deflation it is not possible. Only gold or gold-backed currency leads to deflation. Time will tell.

 

The monetary policy of the US is way too tight.

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The monetary policy of the US is way too tight! How could that be if the interest rates are the lowest in the history of the US?  Interest rates alone do not determine fiscal tightness…

The dollar has been the reserve currency of the world since 1944 when it was crowned emperor at Bretton-Woods. It is the official currency of the world. Most trade is done in dollars,but less so every day. Most of the debt of the world is denominated in dollars,but less so every day.That is of eminent concern to the US. If the dollar loses its reserve status, the game is over.

In my article, “Gold and the Dollar in mortal combat”, I stated that gold does not need the dollar or any other currency, but the dollar needs gold. How so? Simple! Dollar currency can only be valued in terms of gold. By suppressing the intrinsic value of gold, the economic activity of the world is suppressed. When economic activity decreases,the need for raw materials decreases, but the debt burden of natural resource countries increases. Remember,most of the debt, ninety percent in fact, is denominated in dollars. Commodity prices go into collapse mode. What is the motive behind this? Is it to destroy the economy of China and Russia? Very likely. Of course, no one will  admit that. But there is a collateral damage or side effects to such a policy. Stock markets, bond markets,and debt in general rise to unsustainable heights. As there is less and less energy to keep the game going, the system goes into collapse mode.

The currencies of such countries as Brazil, Argentina, Venezuela are collapsing. Possibly, these are welcome results, because the governments of these and other countries are in the works to be “changed” because they are too independent. The negative side effects are also affecting friendlies such as Canada, Australia, New Zealand, and Norway.Their currencies are also collapsing. The boomerang of this policy is hitting the US itself. The velocity of money is collapsing. People have no money. The Baltic dry index is down. Labour force participation is way down, below sixty three percent. Infrastructure is deteriorating. The living standard of ninety percent of US citizens is decreasing rapidly. Socioeconomic unrest is increasing…

And,now, the coup de grace: China is devaluing the yuan. This is sending panic. China is being accused of currency manipulation. Why? Because the only way  China can devalue its currency is to de-peg the yuan from the dollar and start selling US treasuries. Other countries who hold treasuries such as Japan will follow.  This is the nightmare scenario. By suppressing the price of gold, the monetary policy is way too tight. The proper policy would have been to let gold reach and stay at its equilibrium value, whatever that may have been. Now, the US cannot let go. Gold will break out. Now, gold can be bought at around eleven hundred dollars an ounce. When gold breaks out it will be unavailable in any currency at any price. Only time will tell.

gold and the dollar in mortal combat!

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The dollar and gold are in mortal combat. Up to the present the dollar has been supreme. The Bretton-Woods Agreement crowned the dollar as Emperor of the World. This gave immense power to the US. As a matter of fact, it gave immense super power to the US. All economic activity of the world was transacted in US dollars and not only was it the reserve currency of the world, it was the official currency of the world. It enabled the US to buy anything it wanted by either printing dollars or going into debt. The US lends money to other countries, especially to newly independent countries in Africa, Asia, and Latin America in order to trap them into dollar debt and to exploit them to the limits of exploitation….

Any leader who opposes this arrangement is punished. The list of past and present offenders is long: Mossadegh of Iran in 1953, Gustavo Arbenz of Guatemala in 1954, attempted coup of Castro in 1961, Bay of Pigs,Patrice Lumumba of  Belgian Congo in 1962, Saddam Hussein of Iraq 2003 and Libya’s Gaddafi in 2011. There are many others such as Juanio Quadros of Brazil in 1964. The Modus Operandi of the West was total exploitation of the world through economics and any leader who opposed this policy was accused of communism and was overthrown. ( Another good example was president Sukarno of Indonesia in 1965.) The US will go to any length to protect the dollar rule of the world; possibly even nuclear war.

The opposing force to the dollar is nature itself. Gold is the power of nature,of the universe. It has the colour, the energy,and the power of the sun. Gold and other precious metals were created when the Universe was created. All civilizations of the world,past and present,cherished gold and silver. Both gold and silver are symbols of power and wealth. He,who has the gold,makes the rules.

Gold does not need the dollar, but the dollar needs gold. The “value” of the dollar can only be valued in physical things. How many dollars are needed to buy a barrel of oil or a bushel of corn.? Agricultural commodities cannot be used as money except in barter deals. Oil and agricultural commodities are consumed and cannot be used as money, but they can be the path to riches through labour. According to the first Law of Thermodynamics, energy cannot be created nor destroyed. Gold cannot be created nor destroyed. It possesses the power and energy of the sun. The dollar needs gold to measure its buying power. The true buying power of any currency can only be measured in terms of gold.

Presently gold is being suppressed for obvious reasons: to convince people that the dollar, and other fiat currencies, stocks,and bonds are the way to go. Anything that can be printed such as fiat currencies, stocks, bonds, and annuities are paths of speculation and not of investment. The world is waking up and experiencing an epiphany. The countries of Afro-Eurasia and Latin America are accumulating gold and abandoning the dollar.That is the nightmare scenario for the US and the main reason they hate Putin. They want to destroy Russia and encircle China. They want to give China the Japan treatment of 1939-41, that is, economic strangulation. If they succeed, the dollar will be supreme, and gold will go to jail. If the US fails, the dollar will most likely go to zero. Only time will tell….