Category Archives: novorussia

Ukraine is about to attack Novorussiya

Violence is increasing along the line of demarcation in Novorussiya*. The Kiev Regime is planning something, and it’s a matter of war or collapse, so it has chosen attack. Heavy equipment has been moved to the front, and a new mobilization of fresh troops has taken place but the results have not been impressive. The economy is collapsing and the regime of Yatsenyuk is on the verge of self destruction. Poroshenko wants to replace Yatsenyuk with American-born finance minister Jaresko. The Americans are getting impatient, and they want action…

The US is afraid that the European Union is going to lift sanctions against Russia this year. If this happens it will mean that Europe wants a rapprochement with Russia. They realize that a future without Russia is not possible. The war in the Ukraine would create animosity towards Russia which would be music to US ears.

The second reason is that this is the last chance for an offensive by the Kiev regime against Donbass and Lugansk. They are in the same dilemma that Germany was in before the Battle of Kursk in the Second World War.

The third reason is Syria. The US and its coalition is not doing well. Turkey and President Erdogan are going berserk; they are pounding the Kurds of South East Turkey. It seems that civil war is inevitable for them. So the US hopes that a war in the Ukraine might improve its position in Syria.

Spring is here! An ideal time for war. The Ukrainians have been re-equipped by the US. US military personnel are swarming all over the country. Numerous mercenaries have been in the East. Also, both sides have realized that the situation can only be resolved by war. The Minsk II Agreement was never honored by the Ukraine, but the failure has been blamed on Russia.

When the Ukrainian attack comes it will be massive, but the Novorussiya line will hold. Donbas will then counter attack in three directions: Kiev, the River Dnieper region; Mariupol, Odessa region; and Kharkov. People will join the Donbass Army, and the Ukrainian Army will mostly desert. The Kiev regime leaders and the oligarchs will try to escape to Canada, Israel, the US, and some other countries. Many will be caught and punished. The Ukraine will take its rightful place in the Commonwealth of Independent States. Only time will tell.

*Novorussiya is the region of the Eastern Ukraine which is in rebellion. It consists of the two provinces of Donetsk and Lugansk

Quo Vadis, 2016?

2016 may turn out to be a very significant year. Many thought that 2015 would be the year of the stock market crash, but this didn’t happen. Many more negatives than positives occurred in 2015 though. Stock indecis reached new highs in the first half of the year, and now at the end of the year are in correction mode. It is not likely that they will crash in the last few days of trading remaining, although they could, since nobody expects it.

On the world scene, the West and Turkey were exposed as chief supporters of ISIS, in addition to Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States. The Paris and San Bernardino tragedies should not have been a surprise. The Russian plane disaster in Egypt was a surprise but the Western press did not moan about it. The Beirut bombing by ISIS did not get much coverage. The Turkish destruction of a Russian bomber over Syria was not really condemned by the West. The hypocrisy of the West was in full bloom in the Ukraine, the Middle East, South East Asia and other places in the world.

Also in 2015, precious metals, oil, and other commodities collapsed. The dollar was strong and Third World economies were in a severe depression. Canada, Australia, and some European states were entering a depression, but Russia just got stronger. China was trying to stabilize its economy. The Yuan became an International Reserve Currency member, and even though only as a junior partner, this is just the beginning.

What will 2016 bring? It will be much more exciting than 2015. It could be the Year of Super Black Swans. The most important event that will most likely take place is the American presidential election in November. There is a lot of anger and discontent in this country that the mainstream media does not show but which will fully manifest itself this Election Year. There is only one candidate that stands out, and that is Donald Trump. He is politically “incorrect” and people love it. All other candidates, Republican and Democratic, are nothing more than cookie cutter “apparachicks”. Powerful people in the country want to resuscitate Senator Ted Cruz, but they will not succeed; Donald Trump, on the Republican side is unstoppable and Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic nominee.

The economy will play a key role in these elections. In an earlier post I stated that the present US economy is based on three pillars of paper: the dollar, the bond market, and the stock market, and all three are supported by debt. This situation cannot be sustained. The presidential election and the economy may turn out to be very ugly and a super bad Black Swan may manifest itself.

There is a war going on between Russia and the US, whether people realize this or not. The US wants to destroy Russia, leave it fragmented, and plundered. The war in the Ukraine may start any moment. The Kiev regime days are numbered. It will lash out and lose. History is on Novorossia’s side. When war starts, the Ukrainian Army will desert. Only Western mercenaries and jihadis will fight on the Kiev Junta side. The Ukrainian People will rebel and chase the Junta out of Kiev. A super Black Swan may develop in the Ukraine.

A super, super bad Black Swan may develop in the Middle East. It is sad that the West, Israel, and Turkey are supporting ISIS. There is a danger of an Israeli- Hesballah war. Hesballah is heavily engaged in operations against ISIS in Syria, so Israel may take the opportunity to attack Hesballah and get the waters of the Litani River. Israel desperately needs water. Hesballah may not be a pushover. Also, Palestanians will join in the fight against Israel. ISIS might lose the war in Iraq and Syria. Turkey has invaded Northern Iraq around Mosul. The Kurds in Turkey are rising up. Saudi Arabia is not doing well in Yemen. The US, Israel, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia may lose because they are on wrong side of History. Nuclear weapons  may be used. A super bad Black swan may develop.

The European Union is in deep crisis; it has no independent foreign policy  Economically, many of its’ countries are in a deep depression.The Baltic States, Poland, Romania, Bulgaria are in a depression. France, Italy, Greece, Spain, and Portugal are no better. Germany and Scandinavia are also suffering. The Russian sanctions have boomeranged. A super Black Swan here is not likely in 2016. A shifting of Europe from the North Atlantic to Russia is likely though, and migration will be a big problem.

Africa is waking up and wants to control its natural resources. It is shifting East. A super bad Black Swan here is not likely. Latin America is somewhat less stable. The governments of Venezuela, Brasil, and other Latin American republics will be under attack but will survive. The collapse of commodity prices and dollar debt will be a big problem for Africa and Latin America. The shift to the East will continue in this coming year.

The Indian Subcontinent will be fairly stable. The Taliban will gain strength and possibly gain power. The TAPI pipeline is being built from Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, and Pakistan to India. The Taliban will not oppose it. Iran is developing a very strong strategic partnership with Russia. This Iran-Russia partnership is one of the most natural partnerships to develop in the world. India is developing a strong relationship with Russia and Iran as well. This will continue in 2016. Putin  made a visit to Iran this year, and Prime Minister Modi of India visited Russia this week confirming the desire for this relationship.

China is developing a strong relationship with Russia. China and Russia realize they have to stick together or they will hang separately. South East Asia, despite the TPP, will move closer to China. It will develop Modus Vivendi with China. Its prosperity depends on close co-operation with China. China is the magnet that is pulling the world away from the US. A confrontation in the South China Sea is just one example. But the chances of a Black Swan in South East Asia is not very likely in 2016.

In Summary, 2016 will see increased confrontation between Russia and the US. The dollar will be under attack and gold will rise. Events occurring this year in the US will confirm that the US is in pre-revolutionary state. If powerful individuals try to eliminate Donald Trump, people will rebel. If one of the three paper pillars of the economy cracks, the whole system will collapse. The chances of nuclear war will increase. 2016 will be the beginning of the end of tall buildings, the most wasteful symbols of the system based on waste, arrogance, and greed. People will be returning to simpler things, a respect for natural things, like respect for Mother Earth. It is the only home we’ve got. Happy New Year!

 

The third liberation of the Ukraine

What is going on in the Ukraine is tragic. But that is nothing new for the Ukraine. In the Russian Empire of the czars, Russia and the Ukraine were one. Contrary to what western historical disinformation  claims, the Russian Empire was very tolerant towards its citizens, regardless of ethnicity or religion. Russia, being  centrally located and the largest Eurasian power, was always coveted by peripheral powers for its wealth. The predators of the West wanted to conquer Russia on many occasions, from the Teutonic Knights in 1242, the Poles in 1612, the Swedes in 1712, Napoleon in 1812, and the Germans in the First and Second World wars. They all failed. And they failed because Russia is the pivot of Eurasia, hence,the pivot of the world. Russia is an immovable force. It cannot be conquered or destroyed. The Ukraine is part of this immovable force. The Russian word for place is krai. Ukraina means to be “in the krai”. In many Slavonic languages krai also means end.

The Ukraine has been coveted by the West for its strategic position and its wealth. Some of the richest soil, water, and mineral wealth is located in there. The first enslavement  occurred in the First World War by the Germans. The Russian Bolshevik Revolution started in 1917 with the help of New York bankers. Let me explain. Russia was allied,initially, with Germany and Austria. Britain enticed Russia to join Britain and France. The enticement was this: in the case of an Allied victory, Russia would get Constantinople, the Bosporus,and the Dardanelles. The Ottoman Empire was allied with Germany. Britain never intended to keep its promise to Russia. When war started Russia advanced rapidly into Bulgaria, which was allied with Germany. Early in the war, Russian troops reached Dobruja, Bulgaria, which was only two hundred miles from Constantinople. The British panicked at the possibility that Russia would take over Constantinople. Churchill, the First Lord of the Admiralty, organized the Gallipoli Campaign which ended in disaster; the Turks defeated them.

Under the guise of helping Russia, the Anglo-French alliance wanted to take over Constantinople so that the Russians would not get it. The New York bankers said to Britain, “Allow free immigration of Jews to Palestine and we will ensure US entry into the war.” They would entice Italy into war on the Allied side. Italy at this time was allied with Germany but neutral. They would eliminate Russia from the war. The Balfour Declaration was then proclaimed. allowing the free immigration of the Jews to Palestine. As if by magic, the US and Italy enter the war. Russia is eliminated via the Bolshevik Revolution. The Bolsheviks sign the Brest-Litovsk treaty with Germany on March 3,1918. This resulted in a much,much harsher treaty than the Allies imposed on Germany at the Treaty of Versailles. The Ukraine was placed under German protection. When Germany lost, the Bolsheviks won the civil war and the Ukraine became one of the constituent republics of a brand new country, the USSR.

The second liberation of the Ukraine occurred  during the Second World War. When Germany invaded the USSR on June 22,1941, the Ukraine was occupied and exploited. Many Ukrainians under Stjepan Bandera joined Hitler. By 1945, the Ukraine was liberated and enlarged.

The third liberation of the Ukraine is going on right now. A civil war is going on in the country. A legally elected government was overthrown by the Kiev junta supported by the West, especially the US. It was assumed it would be so easy. What a false assumption! Crimea rejoined Russia freely very recently after having been gifted to the Ukraine in 1954 by Nikita Hrushchov, (who by the way was Ukrainian). Novorussia rebelled. Suppression occurred in both Odessa and Kharkov. The partisan activity is very strong in these areas. Economically, the Ukraine is collapsing, a first world country devolving into a third world country. The war so far has gone badly. The Kiev junta violates the Minsk Two agreements. War will resume any moment. Junta forces have strengthened. The status quo cannot continue. The junta will not negotiate with Novorussia. When war resumes, it will be a sight to behold.  Ukrainians and the Ukrainian Army will rebel. They will join Novorussian forces on the march to Kiev. The Kiev Junta leadership with dual citizenship will run like jack rabbits to save their skin. Many will be caught and brought to trial and punished. The Ukraine will join the Eurasian Customs Union. The West will lose. It will be an epochal change. Only time will tell.