Category Archives: Baltic republics

Short Observations II

The predominant idea or movement of the 21st Century has been the movement away from subservience to independence.

The power that is trying to arrest this flow is the US, the status quo power. Dialectics is the enemy of status quo. Dialectic change is a historical process, and is a  threat to US hegemonic position. The US is enlarging NATO, yet NATO is falling apart. Turkey, one of the most significant nations of NATO is moving away from it and the US after the unsuccessful putsch against Erdogan in 2016. Turkey is pursuing an independent policy in the Middle East, which are contrary to the interests of Israel and the US.

The EU is also moving away from unconditional subservience to the US to independence, as recent German elections have demonstrated. Actually, Germany is moving away from remaining an occupied state to being independent. The poor showing of the Christian Democratic Union Party of Angela Merkel and the Social Democratic Party of Martin Schultz is the proof. Alternativa fur Deutschland party scored big. They came from nowhere. They are the third largest party in Germany and they want change. Big change that is an anathema to US interests. Alternative for Germany wants to follow the Bismarck policy of friendship with Russia. Will the EU follow Germany?

Middle East great changes! Alliances are shifting and changing. Overall, huge Islamic alliance is forming in the Middle East and South Asia. Lebanon, Turkey, Syria, Iraq, Iran, Pakistan, possibly Bangla Desh, Malaysia, Indonesia. At the same time that this Alliance is forming, India is drifting West. The lynch pin of this alliance will be Iran and Turkey. Just look at the geographical position of Turkey and Iran. The Saudi King is visiting Moscow. Very interesting…

Israel is in panic mode. Assad is successfully fighting ISIS. Iran is a key player in this game. Iran has strong connections with Hesbollah of Lebanon, as well as Syria, Iraq, and Yemen. Turkey, Iran, Iraq, and Syria have determined that an independent Kurdistan will fail;  Israel wants Kurdistan to succeed. Israel is instructing the US to destroy Iran, thereby assuring Israeli domination of the Middle East, and the fresh water resources which Israel critically needs. Whether the US will oblige remains to be seen.

There is an economic factor involved here as well. The Fed is pushing stocks higher. Some are predicting the DOW at 40,000 within a decade or sooner. Others are predicting total collapse. Foreigners are pouring their money into the US stock market, thereby supporting the dollar and the bond market. The Fed must support the stock market at all costs. If it fails, all hell will break loose. All three will collapse: the dollar, the bond market, and the stock market, and there will be no more free lunch for the US.

The Ukrainian situation is ‘dormant’; a low intensity war. Kiev has no choice but to do that. It must be in the game even though it is losing. Ukraine is slowly dying. Population is decreasing. Wages are decreasing. People are very angry. What is keeping the Kiev afloat are Ukrainian remittances from Russia where over 4,000,000 Ukrainians work. Kiev is selling the Ukraine on the cheap to the West. It is only question of when, not if, the Ukrainians revolt.

Africa and Latin America are two continents where natural wealth is in relative abundance and people are waking up to protect it. Epiphany is rampant in Africa and Latin America. Western corporations are milking them as in colonial times. Globalism is just another name, more modern, for colonialism. Epiphany cannot be stopped. Venezuela will not buckle. In due time, more countries will join Venezuela. That is the flow of History.

North Korea is a thorn in US foreign policy in Asia. US interest is to maintain a Wall of Enmity extending from the Baltic, Poland, Ukraine, Turkey, Syria, Iraq, Persian Gulf, India, Straits of Malacca, Philippines, Japan, all the way to South Korea. The idea is to maintain this Wall of Enmity and push it to squeeze the hell out of China, Iran, and Russia.

China has said that if the US attacks North Korea it will automatically be on the North Korean side; a Korean War II would be inevitable and the potential catastrophe would be immense. North and South Korea would be destroyed. If China got involved, then Japan, China, and, possibly, the US would be severely damaged. A Korean crisis is, and will be, lots of thunder and very little, if any, rain.,

All scenarios discussed here could end up in a big war. In my opinion, the most likely scenario would be a US attack on Iran to make the Middle East safe for Israel. All kinds of excuses would be used to justify the attack. But wars never go according to plan. It seems that Iranian strategy is to receive and not give the first blow. After that, all hell would break loose. All of the Middle East, and possibly the world, would be in flames.

The only thing that will prevent wars that may occur anywhere is the collapse of the US stock market. Foreigners would pull their money out. At least, those who would be able. That would lead to the dollar and bond market collapsing. The US would have no choice but to turn inward. We will see.

 

 

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Delenda est Russia

The idea to destroy Russia is not a new idea for the West. The most recent example was in Germany, 1941- 1945. The US declared war on Germany only after the German declaration of war on the US, which resulted from the Japanese sneak attack on Pearl Harbour, Hawaii. Hawaii at that time was a colonial possession of the US. Britain declared war on Germany after Hitler invaded Poland. Britain was obliged to honor its commitment to France. France and Poland were very close to each other, like hand in glove, but many in Britain opposed the declaration of war.

The Japanese attack on Pearl Harbour was choreographed by the US. The US embargoed the oil supply to Japan from all Western controlled oil sources. Also, Japan was forbidden the use of the Panama Canal. Japan had no choice: surrender or fight. So Japan chose to fight, hoping for a knockout blow. It didn’t work out however because the US broke the Japanese secret code. So the US decided to play the victim, leaving a few battleships in the Harbour; this Japanese venture was doomed to failure from the start. And the result: Japan is now an occupied country loaded with US military hardware.

The US played differently with Germany though. It declared war on Germany only after Hitler declared war on the US in December, 1941. By default, the US became a reluctant ally of Russia. Russia, alone, faced the combined might of Germany and all of occupied Europe. The British campaign in North Africa was a minor side show. The US lend lease to Russia was fully paid back by the USSR by the early 1950’s.

The Cold War started at the end of the Second World War. But even before the war ended, Churchill had suggested, ‘Operation Unthinkable’: Britain and the US to join the Wehrmacht in fighting the USSR. The decay of the USSR started with its de-Stalinization under the leadership of Nikita Khrushchev. The USSR was kaput by 1991. A decade of plunder began under Boris Yeltsin, and the end of history was proclaimed. Had Western liberalism triumphed?  US hegemony was peaking and Russian weakness was bottoming out.

By 2000, Russia was weak but not defeated. Under a new leader it rose like the Phoenix from the ashes, resilient and getting stronger by the day. And all along since 1945, the US has been playing the dollar card. All the financial games of the world have been controlled by US institutions: the Federal Reserve, the IMF, the World Bank, the Bank for International Settlements, and the Bank for International Development.

After the Ukrainian coup d’état of 2014, the US decided to destroy Russia economically and it applied an economic squeeze; they attacked the ruble. In a matter of weeks, the ruble dropped from around 29 to the dollar to over 70 to the dollar. Oil prices collapsed from near a hundred dollars per barrel to less than thirty dollars per barrel. This hurt Russia badly, but Russia did not buckle. The West then applied sanctions on Russia. They tried using SWIFT, Society for World Wide Financial Transactions, to ban Russian transactions but backed off; Russia now has its own version of SWIFT.

The Third Law of Motion states: For every action there is an equal and opposite reaction. Russia banned agricultural products from the West. It stopped using Baltic state ports and rail systems which had been built by the Soviets. The result: hardship for the farmers of the EU and severe economic injury to the Baltic republics. Russian agriculture is now booming. Russia has become the number one wheat exporter in the world. Western sanctions should remain permanent because they only help the Russians, they are a blessing in disguise. It must be understood, Russia is an autarchic power par excellence, the only one in the world; it cannot be destroyed economically.

Russia cannot be destroyed economically, because Russia is an autarchic power. So, the West will try  to control Russia militarily by using enhanced nuclear weapons which are very unique. Whether the Russians or the Chinese have any inkling of these weapons is unknown. China and Russia must be destroyed at the same time for the West to be successful. That is the theory and the belief of the planners. However, the destruction of the planet Earth, will more likely be the result.